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Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes77%
No24%

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24h volume$5
7d volume$4K
30d volume$4.5K
Liquidity$2.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket71% YesOpen
Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket60% YesOpen
Will Mariana di Girolamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Will Olivia Colman be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket88% YesOpen
Will Tao Okamoto be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket66% YesOpen
Will Kate O'Flynn be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket59% NoOpen
Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket71% NoOpen
Will Merritt Wever be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Margaret Qualley be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Danielle Deadwyler be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Gemma Chan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Isabella Rossellini be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Betty Gilpin be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket60% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 01:49 PM UTC