PolymarketOpen

Will Sophie Okonedo be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$624
Spread4%
ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket73% NoOpen
Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket73% YesOpen
Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket77% YesOpen
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Virginie Efira be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket57% NoOpen
Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Natalie Portman be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Joan Collins be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Scarlett Johansson be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Mikey Madison be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Daisy Edgar-Jones be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Julianne Moore be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% YesOpen
Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket77% YesOpen
Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket57% NoOpen
Will Rosalind Eleazar be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Laura Linney be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket54% NoOpen
Will Michelle Monaghan be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Kirsten Dunst be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Michelle Williams be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Dakota Johnson be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Shailene Woodley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Lily Gladstone be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 03:23 PM UTC