KalshiResolved

Will the gold close price be above 4004 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4004

No—
Above $4004—

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 15, 20269 days ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14, 09:32 AMOct 14, 10:21 PMOct 15, 11:10 AMOct 16, 12:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4004 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the gold close price be above 4174 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4174Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4184 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4184Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4164 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4164Kalshi97% Above $4164Open
Will the gold close price be above 4114 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4114Kalshi99% Above $4114Open
Will the gold close price be above 4154 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4154Kalshi97% Above $4154Open
Will the gold close price be above 4144 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4144Kalshi99% Above $4144Open
Will the gold close price be above 4094 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4094Kalshi99% Above $4094Open
Will the gold close price be above 4124 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4124Kalshi99% Above $4124Open
Will the gold close price be above 4104 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4104Kalshi99% Above $4104Open
Will the gold close price be above 4134 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4134Kalshi99% Above $4134Open
Will the gold close price be above 4194 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4194Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4214 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4214Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4204 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4204Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4074 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4074Kalshi99% Above $4074Open
Will the gold close price be above 4084 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4084Kalshi99% Above $4084Open
Will the gold close price be above 4044 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4044Kalshi97% Above $4044Open
Will the gold close price be above 4064 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4064Kalshi99% Above $4064Open
Will the gold close price be above 4264 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4264Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4224 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4224Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4234 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4234Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4254 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4254Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4244 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4244Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4284 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4284Kalshi—Open
Will the gold close price be above 4294 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4294Kalshi—Open
Will the gold close price be above 4024 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4024Kalshi96% Above $4024Open

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 08:19 PM UTC