Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: Real Madrid wins

Yes99%
No1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 22, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 19Oct 21

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. They differ only in venue settlement details: Gemini names the fixture in reverse order and cites source agencies/market review, while Limitless, Kalshi, and SxBet use their own no-contest/cancelled-game rules and sources. These differences do not change the event, side, or time horizon being priced.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: Real Madrid wins

    This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    11 holders · read Oct 21, 01:57 PM UTC

  • Real Madrid wins

    If Real Madrid wins the Real Madrid vs Leipzig professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Real Madrid vs Leipzig professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 21, 05:05 PM UTC

  • Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: Real Madrid wins

    12. Real Madrid / RB Leipzig. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

    read Oct 21, 08:52 PM UTC

  • RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid: regulation time: Real Madrid wins

    If Real Madrid wins the UEFA Champions League match between Real Madrid and RB Leipzig originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 21, 07:05 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig end in a draw?Limitless100% NoOpen
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig winsLimitless100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders11
Held value$105
Trades (24h)—
Trades7
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 78% · best ask 81%

Top holders

  • 0xCb604e537A8416aae4bA5677084aD04F80E7d816Yes$26
  • 0x1dDCc2802bFB833d6BEbB8d2E0bC488E7c4dFCfCYes$21
  • 0x0186341CD07081835904F11356D611Cec58AEb28No$13
  • 0x0fBA941664d9FE45A463abd2b83a58a96d5422ABYes$10
  • 0xD2B94d9ddecbF87B28bdb1aa626AAa8fADa55527Yes$10

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —81%$33 days ago
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  • —79%$106 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 06:58 PM UTC