KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Toronto wins

No79%

Toronto21%

Price checked at Oct 24, 03:05 AM UTC

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24h volume$861

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 19 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Toronto wins the Columbus vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Columbus vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi both specify regulation time plus stoppage time and exclude extra time/penalties; Novig states the same match-up as a moneyline win market without materially different outcome wording. They differ only in settlement source/void handling and exact settlement timestamp.

this market
Toronto wins
If Toronto wins the Columbus vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Columbus vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open
Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: Toronto FC wins
Novig MLS moneyline 3 way win market on Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC, scheduled 2026-10-24 19:30 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Oct 24, 12:11 AM UTC
Open
Toronto vs Columbus: regulation time: Toronto wins
If Toronto wins the Major League Soccer match between Toronto and Columbus originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)