Kansas City wins

No56%
Kansas City44%

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24h volume$1.2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 11 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Austin professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Austin professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini explicitly settle on the official result of the Oct. 24, 2026 match after regulation time plus stoppage time; SxBet states the same winner question for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC and adds only a void/no-contest rule. Differences in settlement source and exact resolution timing are not material.
  • Kalshithis market

    Kansas City wins

    If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Austin professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Austin professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Austin vs Kansas City: regulation time: Sporting Kansas City wins

    If Kansas City wins the Major League Soccer match between Kansas City and Austin originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 24, 05:49 AM UTC

  • Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC: Sporting Kansas City wins

    12. Sporting Kansas City / Austin FC. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

    read Oct 24, 02:45 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Austin winsKalshi67% NoOpen
Tie is the resultKalshi76% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 24, 04:57 PM UTC