San Jose wins

No75%
San Jose25%

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24h volume$2.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 4 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If San Jose wins the Dallas vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Dallas vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi both exclude extra time and penalties. Kalshi explicitly states tie and cancellation/reschedule handling, while Gemini uses a general market review process if the outcome cannot be determined.
  • San Jose vs Dallas: regulation time: San Jose wins

    If San Jose wins the Major League Soccer match between San Jose and Dallas originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 24, 05:57 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    San Jose wins

    If San Jose wins the Dallas vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Dallas vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Dallas winsKalshi53% DallasOpen
Tie is the resultKalshi76% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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As of Oct 24, 11:58 PM UTC