KalshiResolved

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.08% or above

No99%

5.08% or above1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 14, 202610 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 14, 2026, or one week following Oct 14, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.1% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.04% or above	Kalshi	86% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.02% or above	Kalshi	80% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 14, 2026? 5% or above	Kalshi	58% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.06% or above	Kalshi	86% No	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 14, 2026? 4.96% or above	Kalshi	83% 4.96% or above	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 14, 2026? 4.98% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.98% or above	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 14, 2026? 4.94% or above	Kalshi	98% 4.94% or above	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 14, 2026? 4.9% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.9% or above	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 14, 2026? 4.92% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.92% or above	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 14, 2026? 4.88% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.88% or above	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 14, 2026? 4.86% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.86% or above	$0	—	—	Open
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?: Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.12% or above	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 25, 01:22 AM UTC