KalshiResolved

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.13% or above

5.13% or above99%

No1%

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

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ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 14, 2026, or one week following Oct 14, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.37% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.35% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.39% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.29% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.31% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.27% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.33% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.25% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.17% or above	Kalshi	80% 5.17% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.19% or above	Kalshi	67% 5.19% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.23% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.21% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.15% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.15% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 14, 2026? 5.11% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.11% or above	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 06:26 PM UTC