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Will Republicans sweep the Great Plains Senate races?: Will Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska? Yes

No60%
Yes40%

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24h volume$1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesNov 10, 2026in 17 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska, then the market resolves to Yes. This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. A Republican candidate is a candidate listed with the Republican Party label on the general election ballot. Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Republican. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. The full rules provide further details.

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As of Oct 24, 08:59 PM UTC