Chicago wins 1Q by over 2.5 points? Chicago wins by over 2.5 points

Chicago wins by over 2.5 points99%
No1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$16.7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18Oct 19Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Chicago wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st Quarter of the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles on whether Chicago wins the 1st quarter by more than 2.5 points in the Oct. 18, 2026 game, while Gemini uses the same 1st-quarter -2.5 spread but specifies official scoring sources, a later expiration date, and extra fallback rules for abnormal outcomes. These published criteria differ only in resolution mechanics, not in the question asked.
  • Kalshithis market

    Chicago wins 1Q by over 2.5 points? Chicago wins by over 2.5 points

    If Chicago wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st Quarter of the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 19, 01:39 AM UTC

  • Chicago vs Atlanta: 1st quarter spread: Chicago (-2.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if Chicago covers a -2.5 point spread against Atlanta during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between Chicago and Atlanta scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Chicago scores more than 2.5 points more than Atlanta during the 1st quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 1st quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

    read Oct 18, 01:27 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Chicago wins 1Q by over 7.5 points? Chicago wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Chicago wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Chicago wins 1Q by over 6.5 points? Chicago wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Chicago wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Chicago wins 1Q by over 3.5 points? Chicago wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Chicago wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Atlanta wins 1Q by over 2.5 points? Atlanta wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Chicago wins 1Q by over 10.5 points? Chicago wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% Chicago wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
Atlanta wins 1Q by over 6.5 points? Atlanta wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Atlanta wins 1Q by over 3.5 points? Atlanta wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Atlanta wins 1Q by over 10.5 points? Atlanta wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Atlanta wins 1Q by over 7.5 points? Atlanta wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 09:38 PM UTC