Baltimore wins 4Q by over 2.5 points? Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points

No92%
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points8%

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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Baltimore wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement wording and source detail: Gemini specifies official quarter-by-quarter scoring and a source hierarchy/review process, while Kalshi states the same 4th-quarter-only rule more briefly. The resolve times also differ, but that does not change the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Baltimore wins 4Q by over 2.5 points? Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points

    If Baltimore wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 19, 01:30 AM UTC

  • Baltimore vs Cleveland: 4th quarter spread: Baltimore (-2.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if Baltimore covers a -2.5 point spread against Cleveland during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Baltimore and Cleveland scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Baltimore scores more than 2.5 points more than Cleveland during the 4th quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

    read Oct 18, 03:01 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 08:41 PM UTC