New York J wins 2Q by over 3.5 points? New York J wins by over 3.5 points

No99%
New York J wins by over 3.5 points1%

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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If New York J wins by more than 3.5 points in the 2nd Quarter of the New York J vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 2nd Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Kalshi cites no explicit source and resolves at 2026-10-18T20:00:00Z, while Gemini specifies official quarter-by-quarter scoring sources and a later expiration date. Those differences do not change the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    New York J wins 2Q by over 3.5 points? New York J wins by over 3.5 points

    If New York J wins by more than 3.5 points in the 2nd Quarter of the New York J vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 2nd Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 19, 01:20 AM UTC

  • New York J vs New England: 2nd quarter spread: New York J (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if New York J covers a -3.5 point spread against New England during the 2nd quarter of the Pro Football game between New York J and New England scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning New York J scores more than 3.5 points more than New England during the 2nd quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 2nd quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

    read Oct 18, 12:23 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 06:51 PM UTC