New England wins 4Q by over 6.5 points? New England wins by over 6.5 points

No97%
New England wins by over 6.5 points3%

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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If New England wins by more than 6.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New York J vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini specifies official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary and a later resolves-at time, while Kalshi does not publish a separate source here. The published criteria are otherwise materially the same.
  • Kalshithis market

    New England wins 4Q by over 6.5 points? New England wins by over 6.5 points

    If New England wins by more than 6.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New York J vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 19, 01:18 AM UTC

  • New York J vs New England: 4th quarter spread: New England (-6.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if New England covers a -6.5 point spread against New York J during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between New York J and New England scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning New England scores more than 6.5 points more than New York J during the 4th quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

    read Oct 18, 12:36 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 11:54 PM UTC