Carolina wins 4Q by over 2.5 points? Carolina wins by over 2.5 points

Carolina wins by over 2.5 points99%
No1%

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24h volume$7.1K
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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Carolina wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini specifies settlement from official quarter-by-quarter scoring summaries and lists fallback review/cancellation handling; Kalshi states the 4th-quarter-only rule but does not publish a source in the excerpt. These differences do not change the question being asked.
  • Kalshithis market

    Carolina wins 4Q by over 2.5 points? Carolina wins by over 2.5 points

    If Carolina wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 19, 01:10 AM UTC

  • Carolina vs Philadelphia: 4th quarter spread: Carolina (-2.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if Carolina covers a -2.5 point spread against Philadelphia during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Carolina and Philadelphia scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Carolina scores more than 2.5 points more than Philadelphia during the 4th quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

    read Oct 18, 12:08 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 08:47 PM UTC