Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 3.5 points? Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 points

No99%
Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 points1%

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24h volume$1.6K
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ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Tampa Bay wins by more than 3.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi use the same underlying event and threshold, but their published resolve times differ. Gemini cites a later expiration/processing time, while Kalshi resolves at the game’s scheduled date/time; this does not change the question asked.
  • Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Tampa Bay (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if Tampa Bay covers a -3.5 point spread against Pittsburgh during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Tampa Bay scores more than 3.5 points more than Pittsburgh during the 4th quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

    read Oct 18, 11:12 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 3.5 points? Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 points

    If Tampa Bay wins by more than 3.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 19, 01:04 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 6.5 points? Pittsburgh wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Pittsburgh wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 7.5 points? Pittsburgh wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Pittsburgh wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 2.5 points? Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi95% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 1.5 points? Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 2.5 points? Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 3.5 points? Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 10.5 points? Tampa Bay wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 7.5 points? Tampa Bay wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 6.5 points? Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 10.5 points? Pittsburgh wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% Pittsburgh wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen

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As of Oct 25, 02:37 PM UTC