Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

No100%
Yes0%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$3.5K
7d volume$8.4K
30d volume$10.7K
Liquidity$8.9K
Spread0%
ResolvesMar 14, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Both venues use the same substantive criteria: official AMPAS Best Picture winner, with the same nomination-based No rule and tie-break/cancel fallback language. Polymarket publishes a specific resolve-by time (2027-03-14 23:59 UTC) while PredictFun leaves resolvesAt blank, but that is not a material difference in the question.
  • Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

    The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Oct 24, 12:32 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

    The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket56% NoOpen
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket70% NoOpen
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will "I Play Rocky" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will "Obsession" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Clarissa win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Saturn Return win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Fatherland win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Disclosure Day win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will "Elsinore" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments5

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

5 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • RealJohnTitor · 7 days ago

    Total Nathan Fielder Domination Incoming

  • benoitgagnon997 · 16 days ago

    Why does it say dune part 2 and not part 3

  • maxdawg · 27 days ago

    2026 denis villeneuve >>>>> 2026 christopher nolan

  • maxdawg · last month

    dune 3 will be a banger

  • Handsome-Asset · 3 months ago

    I'm sensing that Fjord will take this

As of Oct 24, 08:41 PM UTC