UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Katlyn Cerminara100%
Mackenzie Stiller0%

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24h volume—
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ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19Oct 21Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Katlyn Cerminara" if Katlyn Cerminara is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mackenzie Stiller at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Mackenzie Stiller" if Mackenzie Stiller is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi explicitly says Yes if Mackenzie Stiller wins and gives tie/no-contest and postponement handling; the Polymarket listing shows the same fight/winner question but does not publish criteria here. The published criteria differ in no material way for comparability.
  • Mackenzie Stiller wins

    If Mackenzie Stiller wins the Katlyn Cerminara vs Mackenzie Stiller professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 16, 01:04 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Katlyn Cerminara" if Katlyn Cerminara is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mackenzie Stiller at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Mackenzie Stiller" if Mackenzie Stiller is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket100% UnderOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Katlyn Cerminara win in Round 3?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Katlyn Cerminara win by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Mackenzie Stiller win in Round 2?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Katlyn Cerminara win in Round 2?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Katlyn Cerminara win in Round 1?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket100% NoOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket100% UnderOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Mackenzie Stiller win in Round 3?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Mackenzie Stiller win in Round 1?Polymarket100% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Will Mackenzie Stiller win by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:55 PM UTC