Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)

Pittsburgh (-10.5)100%
Tampa Bay (+10.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 20, 20265 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 18, 06:27 PMOct 18, 11:13 PMOct 19, 03:59 AMOct 19, 08:44 AM

No recorded data before Oct 18 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Pittsburgh covers a -10.5 point spread against Tampa Bay during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Pittsburgh scores more than 10.5 points more than Tampa Bay during the 4th quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini resolves on its expiration date using official/game-source scoring summaries, while Kalshi resolves on the game date under its own rules. These published criteria differ in no material way for the underlying question.
  • Geminithis market

    Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if Pittsburgh covers a -10.5 point spread against Tampa Bay during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Pittsburgh scores more than 10.5 points more than Tampa Bay during the 4th quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

    read Oct 18, 11:12 AM UTC

  • Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 10.5 points? Pittsburgh wins by over 10.5 points

    If Pittsburgh wins by more than 10.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 19, 01:03 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (-7.5)Open
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Tampa Bay (-6.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (+6.5)Open
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Tampa Bay (-7.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (+7.5)Open
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (-6.5)Open
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Pittsburgh (-1.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (-1.5)Open
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Tampa Bay (-10.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (+10.5)Open
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Pittsburgh (-2.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (-2.5)Open
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Tampa Bay (-3.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (+3.5)Open
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (-3.5)Open
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th quarter spread: Tampa Bay (-2.5)Gemini100% Pittsburgh (+2.5)Open

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As of Oct 25, 04:12 PM UTC