PolymarketResolvedvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?

Yes100%

No0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.

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24h volume$7.8K

7d volume$156.5K

30d volume$157.6K

Liquidity—

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 20, 20264 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Sourcehttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. Both appear to use the same Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on October 20, resolving Yes if the close is above 78,000 and No otherwise. The only material difference is that Polymarket explicitly lists the Binance URL as the source while Opinion leaves the source field null.

Open
Bitcoin above … on October 20 — 78,000
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
read Oct 20, 05:15 PM UTC
this market
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$52.9K	—	—	Open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% No	$35K	—	—	Open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$28.3K	—	—	Open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% No	$22.4K	—	—	Open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 20?	Polymarket	100% Yes	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 08:33 PM UTC