KalshiResolved

Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4147 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4147

No96%
Above $41474%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$7.4K
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ResolvesOct 14, 202610 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13, 12:36 PMOct 14, 01:50 AMOct 14, 03:04 PMOct 15, 04:18 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4147 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4107 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4107Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4087 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4087Kalshi97% Above $4087Open
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4097 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4097Kalshi99% Above $4097Open
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4067 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4067Kalshi99% Above $4067Open
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4117 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4117Kalshi96% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4077 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4077Kalshi98% Above $4077Open
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4157 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4157Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4167 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4167Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4137 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4137Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3997 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3997Kalshi98% Above $3997Open
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4127 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4127Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4047 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4047Kalshi98% Above $4047Open
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4057 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4057Kalshi99% Above $4057Open
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4177 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4177Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4197 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4197Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3987 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3987Kalshi99% Above $3987Open
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4207 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4207Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4277 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4277Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4267 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4267Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4187 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4187Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4297 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4297Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4257 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4257Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4237 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4237Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4037 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4037Kalshi99% Above $4037Open
Gold price on Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4307 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4307Kalshi98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 09:45 PM UTC