Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 14? — 75 to 76
Price has not been independently checked yet.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Will the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) in San Francisco for 2026-10-14 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be between 75F and 76F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry itHighest temperature in San Francisco on October 14, 2026? — 75°F to 76°F
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport, CA on October 14, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport, CA. Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on October 14, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for October 14, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).
read Oct 15, 01:37 AM UTC
- this market
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 14? — 75 to 76
Will the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) in San Francisco for 2026-10-14 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be between 75F and 76F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
read Oct 15, 06:22 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 14? — 71 to 72 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 14? — 73 to 74 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 14? — 77 to 78 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 14? — 79 or above | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 14? — 70 or below | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 9 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 24, 04:56 PM UTC