KalshiResolved

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.66% or above

4.66% or above99%

No1%

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

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ResolvesOct 13, 202611 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 13, 2026, or one week following Oct 13, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.86% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$1K	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.84% or above	Kalshi	86% No	$851	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.76% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.76% or above	$656	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.8% or above	Kalshi	83% No	$551	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.68% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.68% or above	$522	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.82% or above	Kalshi	98% No	$505	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.72% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.72% or above	$392	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.7% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.7% or above	$392	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.78% or above	Kalshi	90% 4.78% or above	$111	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 13, 2026? 4.74% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.74% or above	$32	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 05:43 PM UTC