Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026: Will Anthropic have a higher Arena Score than Google at the end of 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Anthropic's top model has a higher Arena Score than Google's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Each company's top model is its highest-ranked model in the Overall category of the leaderboard, with style control removed (Adjustments: None). A model belongs to the company the leaderboard lists as its organization. Preliminary models count. If the two top models show the same Arena Score, the one ranked higher on the leaderboard wins.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026: Will Google have a higher Arena Score than Anthropic at the end of 2026? | Kalshi | 78% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 13 hours agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 24, 07:27 PM UTC