Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026: Will Alibaba have a higher Arena Score than Xiaomi at the end of 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Alibaba's top model has a higher Arena Score than Xiaomi's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Each company's top model is its highest-ranked model in the Overall category of the leaderboard, with style control removed (Adjustments: None). A model belongs to the company the leaderboard lists as its organization. Preliminary models count. If the two top models show the same Arena Score, the one ranked higher on the leaderboard wins.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026: Will Xiaomi have a higher Arena Score than Alibaba at the end of 2026? | Kalshi | 94% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 10:46 PM UTC