KalshiOpen

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Xavier Bertrand finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

No99%
Xavier Bertrand1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesMay 1, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Xavier Bertrand finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 2nd, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi71% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Marine Tondelier finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Marine Le Pen finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Gabriel Attal finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Jordan Bardella finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will François Ruffin finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will François Hollande finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Édouard Philippe finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi75% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Dominique de Villepin finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Éric Zemmour finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will David Lisnard finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round): Will Bruno Retailleau finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Kalshi98% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 05:30 PM UTC