Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round): Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish 3rd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Raphaël Glucksmann finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 3rd, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.