What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?: Will the White House Press Secretary say Election / Midterm at her next press briefing?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the White House Press Secretary says Election / Midterm at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles) will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. The event will resolve based on White House Press Secretary speaking in an official capacity. If White House Press Secretary is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
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As of Oct 24, 07:30 PM UTC