Loneer Kavanagh wins

Loneer Kavanagh99%
No1%

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24h volume$35.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 24, 20265 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Loneer Kavanagh wins the Loneer Kavanagh vs Ramazonbek Temirov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves draw/no contest to $0.50 and uses fair price if the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the scheduled time. Gemini resolves draw/tie/no contest to No, keeps the market open if postponed/delayed within 7 days, and uses fair price if cancelled or rescheduled beyond 7 days.
  • Kalshithis market

    Loneer Kavanagh wins

    If Loneer Kavanagh wins the Loneer Kavanagh vs Ramazonbek Temirov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 24, 09:16 PM UTC

  • Kavanagh vs Temirov: Loneer Kavanagh

    This market resolves to Yes if Loneer Kavanagh wins the Kavanagh vs Temirov professional MMA fight scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 24, 02:45 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Ramazonbek Temirov winsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
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As of Oct 25, 04:47 AM UTC