Louis Jourdain wins

No99%
Louis Jourdain1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$370.4K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Louis Jourdain wins the Louis Jourdain vs Timothy Angel Cuamba professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini both settle on Jourdain winning the scheduled MMA fight, but they differ on tie/no-contest and postponement/cancellation handling; SxBet also tracks the same fight but voids on no contest. Kalshi/Gemini specify different sources and cutoff rules, which do not change the question asked.
  • Louis Jourdain vs Timothy Cuamba: Louis Jourdain wins

    12. Louis Jourdain / Timothy Cuamba. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

    read Oct 18, 01:17 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Louis Jourdain wins

    If Louis Jourdain wins the Louis Jourdain vs Timothy Angel Cuamba professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 16, 09:55 PM UTC

  • Jourdain vs Cuamba: Louis Jourdain

    This market resolves to Yes if Louis Jourdain wins the Jourdain vs Cuamba professional MMA fight scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Timothy Angel Cuamba winsKalshi99% Timothy Angel CuambaOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 01:21 AM UTC