Washington wins by over 4.5 points?

No98%
Washington wins by over 4.5 points2%

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24h volume$37K
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ResolvesOct 20, 20265 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Washington wins by more than 4.5 points in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi use different settlement timestamps and different source wording, but both resolve on the final score differential for the same Washington vs San Francisco game. The published criteria differ in no material way.
  • Washington vs San Francisco: spread: Washington (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Washington in the entire NFL game between Washington and San Francisco scheduled for 2026-10-19 at 7:15 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Washington's score minus San Francisco's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

    read Oct 19, 09:19 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Washington wins by over 4.5 points?

    If Washington wins by more than 4.5 points in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 18, 07:16 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
San Francisco wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi99% San Francisco wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
San Francisco wins by over 17.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 20.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi99% San Francisco wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
San Francisco wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi99% San Francisco wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
San Francisco wins by over 23.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
San Francisco wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi99% San Francisco wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
San Francisco wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi99% San Francisco wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
San Francisco wins by over 27.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 02:04 PM UTC