OpenAI market share this week? Above 18.1%
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If OpenAI scores above 18.1% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 12, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI market share this week? Above 18.8% | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| OpenAI market share this week? Above 18.4% | Kalshi | 99% Above 18.4% | Open |
| OpenAI market share this week? Above 19.2% | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| OpenAI market share this week? Above 15.1% | Kalshi | 99% Above 15.1% | Open |
| OpenAI market share this week? Above 19.5% | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| OpenAI market share this week? Above 17.1% | Kalshi | 99% Above 17.1% | Open |
| OpenAI market share this week? Above 22.5% | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| OpenAI market share this week? Above 20.5% | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 5 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 24, 08:50 PM UTC