Will Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer be the next President of Germany?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Germany is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on January 30, 2027. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Germany by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Germany. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? | Polymarket | 55% No | Open |
| Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany? | Polymarket | 75% No | Open |
| Will Udo Di Fabio be the next President of Germany? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Julia Klöckner be the next President of Germany? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Boris Rhein be the next President of Germany? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Angela Merkel be the next President of Germany? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 25, 03:03 AM UTC