PolymarketOpen

Will François Hollande win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$15.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesApr 18, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket64% NoOpen
Will Marine Tondelier win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Dominique de Villepin win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will François Ruffin win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will Sarah Knafo win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Jordan Bardella win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Bruno Retailleau win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Éric Zemmour win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Marine Le Pen win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Gabriel Attal win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 03:34 PM UTC