Smilla Sundell vs. Aline Pereira: Round of Victory: Will Aline Pereira win the Smilla Sundell vs. Aline Pereira Contender Series fight in Round 1 Aline Pereira to win in Round 1

No99%
Aline Pereira to win in Round 11%

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ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12, 05:25 PMOct 13, 05:48 AMOct 13, 06:11 PMOct 14, 06:33 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Aline Pereira wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Smilla Sundell vs. Aline Pereira Contender Series fight originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses UFC official information and has explicit 50-50 treatment for no contest/cancel/postponement beyond Oct. 27, 2026; Kalshi does not publish those same fallback rules here. Kalshi also notes a technical decision counts as a decision and not a round win, which does not materially change the question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Smilla Sundell vs. Aline Pereira: Round of Victory: Will Aline Pereira win the Smilla Sundell vs. Aline Pereira Contender Series fight in Round 1 Aline Pereira to win in Round 1

    If Aline Pereira wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Smilla Sundell vs. Aline Pereira Contender Series fight originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 14, 04:43 AM UTC

  • Will Aline Pereira win in Round 1?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aline Pereira defeats Smilla Sundell at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 27, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

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As of Oct 25, 01:01 AM UTC