Oregon vs Illinois: spread: Oregon (-3.5)

Oregon68%
Illinois33%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$9.8K
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Illinois". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Polymarket use different settlement rules for postponement/cancellation: Kalshi stays open if the game starts within 48 hours and otherwise resolves to a fair price, while Polymarket remains open until completion and uses 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game. These are material only to resolution mechanics, not to the question being asked.
  • Oregon wins by over 3.5 points

    If Oregon wins by more than 3.5 points in the Oregon vs Illinois college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Polymarketthis market

    Oregon vs Illinois: spread: Oregon (-3.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Illinois". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Oregon vs Illinois: spread: Oregon (-10.5)Polymarket54% IllinoisOpen
1H Spread: Oregon (-6.5)Polymarket52% IllinoisOpen
Oregon vs Illinois: total O/U 49.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
1Q Spread: Oregon (-3.5)Polymarket58% IllinoisOpen
Oregon vs Illinois: spread: Oregon (-8.5)Polymarket53% OregonOpen
Oregon 2H Team Total: O/U 15.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Oregon vs Illinois: spread: Oregon (-17.5)Polymarket69% IllinoisOpen
Oregon 1H Team Total: O/U 13.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Oregon vs Illinois: total O/U 47.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Oregon 1H Team Total: O/U 11.5Polymarket67% OverOpen
Oregon vs Illinois: total O/U 57.5Polymarket71% UnderOpen
Oregon vs Illinois: total O/U 53.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Illinois 1H Team Total: O/U 16.5Polymarket71% UnderOpen
Oregon 2H Team Total: O/U 11.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 24.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Oregon vs. Illinois: Both Teams to Score Points - Q4Polymarket61% NoOpen
Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
3Q Spread: Oregon (-3.5)Polymarket57% IllinoisOpen
1H Spread: Oregon (-9.5)Polymarket63% IllinoisOpen
1H Spread: Oregon (-4.5)Polymarket52% OregonOpen
Oregon vs. Illinois: 3Q MoneylinePolymarket50% IllinoisOpen
Oregon vs. Illinois: 1Q MoneylinePolymarket66% OregonOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 01:40 PM UTC