California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-10.5)

SMU68%
California32%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$6.8K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 13 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only on settlement mechanics: Kalshi says a delayed game starting within 48 hours stays open, Polymarket stays open for postponement and pays 50-50 if canceled, and Novig says voids settle at fair market value under its rulebook. They also publish different settlement times/sources, which do not change the spread question.
  • SMU wins by over 10.5 points

    If SMU wins by more than 10.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Polymarketthis market

    California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-10.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • SMU vs California: spread: SMU (-10.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on SMU vs California, scheduled 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC. Sides: SMU -10.5 / CAL +10.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 01:03 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-19.5)Polymarket52% CaliforniaOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-18.5)Polymarket51% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-21.5)Polymarket59% CaliforniaOpen
California vs. SMU: 1Q MoneylinePolymarket81% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: California winsPolymarket91% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: spread: California (-20.5)Polymarket52% SMUOpen
California vs. SMU: 4Q O/U 10.5Polymarket62% OverOpen
California vs SMU: spread: California (-17.5)Polymarket51% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: spread: California (-8.5)Polymarket51% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: total O/U 55.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-16.5)Polymarket57% SMUOpen
California Team Total: O/U 32.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
California vs SMU: 1st half total O/U 24.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
California Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
California vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5Polymarket61% UnderOpen
California vs. SMU: Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2Polymarket50% YesOpen
California Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
California vs. SMU: Both Teams to Score a TouchdownPolymarket50% YesOpen
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-15.5)Polymarket59% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-25.5)Polymarket67% CaliforniaOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-33.5)Polymarket82% CaliforniaOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-26.5)Polymarket69% CaliforniaOpen
1H Spread: SMU (-8.5)Polymarket57% SMUOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 02:54 AM UTC