California vs SMU: spread: California (-3.5)

SMU93%
California7%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$9.7K
Spread6%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 12 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SMU". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses NCAA.com and resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled; Kalshi does not name a source and resolves to fair price if not started within 48 hours. Both otherwise settle on California covering more than 3.5 points.
  • Polymarketthis market

    California vs SMU: spread: California (-3.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SMU". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • California wins by over 3.5 points

    If California wins by more than 3.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-19.5)Polymarket52% CaliforniaOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-18.5)Polymarket51% CaliforniaOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-21.5)Polymarket59% CaliforniaOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-17.5)Polymarket54% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: California winsPolymarket91% SMUOpen
California vs. SMU: 1Q MoneylinePolymarket64% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: total O/U 53.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-20.5)Polymarket55% CaliforniaOpen
California vs SMU: total O/U 55.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
California vs SMU: total O/U 43.5Polymarket78% OverOpen
California vs. SMU: 4Q O/U 10.5Polymarket62% OverOpen
California vs SMU: spread: California (-17.5)Polymarket51% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-16.5)Polymarket57% SMUOpen
California 1H Team Total: O/U 13.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
California vs SMU: 1st half total O/U 24.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
California 1H Team Total: O/U 11.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
California Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
California vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
California vs. SMU: Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2Polymarket50% YesOpen
California Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
California vs. SMU: Both Teams to Score a TouchdownPolymarket50% YesOpen
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-15.5)Polymarket59% SMUOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-25.5)Polymarket68% CaliforniaOpen
California vs SMU: spread: SMU (-26.5)Polymarket68% CaliforniaOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 04:11 AM UTC