United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish: George Russell

No67%
Yes33%

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the United States Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the United States Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only on resolution details: Gemini cites a different source hierarchy and a market review process, while Polymarket and Limitless use the FIA final classification and a 50-50 rule if permanently canceled. The question and outcome threshold are the same.
  • United States Grand Prix Podium: George Russell

    This market resolves to Yes if George Russell officially finishes on the podium (top 3) of the Formula 1 Grand Prix scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (FIA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a driver forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 24, 05:19 AM UTC

  • Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the United States Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the United States Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Limitlessthis market

    United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish: George Russell

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the United States Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the United States Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

    0 holders · read Oct 24, 08:25 AM UTC

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Best bid 31% · best ask 37%

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As of Oct 24, 03:04 PM UTC