United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Lewis Hamilton

No92%
Yes8%

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This is a market on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Both resolve from the FIA final classification after the race, with the same cancel/reschedule-to-after-Nov-1 treatment. One venue explicitly names Formula1.com and credible sports news as the source; the other publishes no materially different criteria.
  • Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

    This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

  • Limitlessthis market

    United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Lewis Hamilton

    This is a market on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

    0 holders · read Oct 23, 08:03 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Kimi AntonelliLimitless81% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max VerstappenLimitless55% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner: George RussellLimitless93% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Lando NorrisLimitless92% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Best bid 8% · best ask 14%

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As of Oct 24, 02:00 PM UTC