Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Yes100%
No0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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ResolvesOct 15, 202610 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12, 11:31 AMOct 13, 03:40 AMOct 13, 07:48 PMOct 14, 11:57 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Limitless and Opinion use 50-50 on certain cancellation/tie/postponement outcomes, while Kalshi uses fair price if the match never occurs and otherwise resolves on Medvedev winning. These are different settlement mechanics for the same match result question.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

    This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

    5 holders · read Oct 14, 06:53 AM UTC

  • Daniil Medvedev wins

    If Daniil Medvedev wins the Medvedev vs Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Medvedev vs Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

    In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-10-14 10:10 UTC: if Daniil Medvedev wins the match, this market resolves to "Daniil Medvedev"; if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins, it resolves to "Stefanos Tsitsipas". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

    read Oct 14, 02:41 PM UTC

Venue activity

Holders5
Held value$4.8K
Trades (24h)—
Trades8
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 66% · best ask 69%

Top holders

  • 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28Yes$3.4K
  • 0xD1c9084Dbf056e19DCFfb8Dd132D495240e0915fNo$1.4K
  • 0x77854Fe2c80539dD2d9a895520D1Fd167326Eaf7Yes$8
  • 0xC36B0C82478B3257866B6023116C1F62a941D970No$6
  • 0xD2B94d9ddecbF87B28bdb1aa626AAa8fADa55527Yes$5

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As of Oct 25, 01:49 PM UTC