Columbus vs Cincinnati: regulation time spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)

Columbus (+2.5)100%
FC Cincinnati (-2.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 19, 20265 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17Oct 18

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If FC Cincinnati beats Columbus Crew by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (FC Cincinnati's goals minus Columbus Crew's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses the official MLS final score and has explicit postponed/canceled rules; Gemini uses league/ESPN/Fox/broadcast sources with an outcome review process if needed; Novig defers to its rulebook and mentions voiding at fair market value. These are settlement differences only, not a different question.
  • FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew: spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)

    In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Cincinnati" if FC Cincinnati win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Columbus Crew". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

  • Geminithis market

    Columbus vs Cincinnati: regulation time spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)

    If FC Cincinnati beats Columbus Crew by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (FC Cincinnati's goals minus Columbus Crew's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 02:27 PM UTC

  • FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew: spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)

    Novig MLS spread market on FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew, scheduled 2026-10-18 21:00 UTC. Sides: Cincinnati -2.5 / Columbus Crew +2.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 18, 10:30 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Columbus vs Cincinnati: regulation time spread: Columbus (-2.5)Gemini100% FC Cincinnati (+2.5)Open
Columbus vs Cincinnati: regulation time spread: Columbus (-1.5)Gemini100% Columbus (-1.5)Open
Columbus vs Cincinnati: regulation time spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)Gemini100% Columbus (+1.5)Open

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As of Oct 25, 04:07 AM UTC