Miami vs Atlanta: regulation time spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)

Atlanta (+2.5)100%
Inter Miami CF (-2.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 17Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Inter Miami CF beats Atlanta United FC by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Inter Miami CF's goals minus Atlanta United FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles on its agency hierarchy and market review process, while Polymarket uses the official MLS score with backup sources and explicit postponement/cancellation rules. The settlement timestamps differ, but both refer to the same October 17, 2026 match and the same -2.5 line.
  • Geminithis market

    Miami vs Atlanta: regulation time spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)

    If Inter Miami CF beats Atlanta United FC by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Inter Miami CF's goals minus Atlanta United FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 03:28 AM UTC

  • Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami CF: spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)

    In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF" if Inter Miami CF win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Atlanta United FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Miami vs Atlanta: regulation time spread: Atlanta (-1.5)Gemini100% Inter Miami CF (+1.5)Open
Miami vs Atlanta: regulation time spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Gemini100% Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Open
Miami vs Atlanta: regulation time spread: Atlanta (-2.5)Gemini100% Inter Miami CF (+2.5)Open
Miami vs Atlanta: regulation time spread: Inter Miami CF (-4.5)Gemini100% Atlanta (+4.5)Open

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As of Oct 25, 09:03 AM UTC