Toronto vs New York: regulation time: New York wins

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If New York wins the Major League Soccer match between New York and Toronto originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini both resolve on regulation time plus stoppage time, with Kalshi separately listing a tie market and Gemini using a No fallback. Novig uses the same match and win question, but its rulebook handles voids via fair market value rather than a refund.
  • New York RB wins

    If New York RB wins the New York RB vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the New York RB vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 17, 04:56 PM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Toronto vs New York: regulation time: New York wins

    If New York wins the Major League Soccer match between New York and Toronto originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 17, 07:37 PM UTC

  • New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC: New York RB wins

    Novig MLS moneyline 3 way win market on New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, scheduled 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 18, 12:08 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Toronto vs New York: regulation time: Toronto winsGemini100% YesOpen
regulation time: Will Toronto vs New York end in a draw?Gemini100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 07:51 PM UTC