Estac Troyes vs Lens: Lens wins

Yes100%
No0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Oct 17

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 17, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ mainly on settlement mechanics: Opinion and Limitless specify fallback/cancellation handling and source rules, while Kalshi notes fair-price treatment for cancellation or a reschedule beyond 48 hours. These differences do not change the underlying question being asked.
  • Estac Troyes vs Lens: Lens wins

    This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Estac Troyes (TRO) and Lens (LEN), scheduled for 2026-10-17 18:45 UTC. - TRO: If Estac Troyes wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LEN: If Lens wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both TRO and LEN options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/ Resolves Yes if Lens wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.

    read Oct 17, 09:44 PM UTC

  • Lens wins

    If Lens wins the Troyes vs Lens professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Troyes vs Lens professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 17, 11:22 PM UTC

  • Limitlessthis market

    Estac Troyes vs Lens: Lens wins

    This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 17, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    7 holders · read Oct 17, 07:56 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Estac Troyes vs Lens: Estac Troyes winsLimitless100% NoOpen
Will Estac Troyes vs Lens end in a draw?Limitless100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders7
Held value$254
Trades (24h)—
Trades3
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 71% · best ask 75%

Top holders

  • 0xD12074BD15074C19D94e16AD353d4c462bf8052dNo$104
  • 0x4B6a2A264fA048d08Fd773ca37B3597cae4d61BAYes$73
  • 0xFA3FC5C6201c7a845B93dDe251B1b6439a4d4027No$63
  • 0x26E75A562574F16192Ac4B724C001f1F2e58FfA0Yes$5
  • 0xa5Ef39C3D3e10d0B270233af41CaC69796B12966No$5

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —55%$757 days ago
  • —53%$17 days ago
  • —55%$18 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 12:56 PM UTC