Polymarket USResolvedPart of a cross-venue question

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 13? — 90 or above

No100%

Yes0%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$2

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 14, 202610 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Will the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway Airport (KMDW) in Chicago for 2026-10-13 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be greater than or equal to 90F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. Resolution criteria have not been compared by a person yet. Venues may settle this question on different sources or dates.

Open
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 13, 2026? — 90°F or above
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway, IL on October 13, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Chicago-Midway, IL. Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway on October 13, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for October 13, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).
this market
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 13? — 90 or above
Will the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway Airport (KMDW) in Chicago for 2026-10-13 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be greater than or equal to 90F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
read Oct 14, 05:14 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 13? — 81 or below	PolymarketUs	100% Yes	$7.8K	—	—	Open
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 13? — 82 to 83	PolymarketUs	100% No	$2.5K	—	—	Open
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 13? — 84 to 85	PolymarketUs	100% No	$117	—	—	Open
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 13? — 86 to 87	PolymarketUs	100% No	$10	—	—	Open
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 13? — 88 to 89	PolymarketUs	100% No	$1	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 11 days ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 05:53 PM UTC