Aurora Gaming wins map 2

No99%
Aurora Gaming1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$21.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 14, 202610 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12, 07:21 AMOct 13, 01:35 AMOct 13, 07:49 PMOct 14, 02:03 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Aurora Gaming wins map 2 in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to map 2 in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT If the relevant match or map is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant map is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in the map, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in resolution mechanics: Polymarket uses HLTV/credible reporting fallback, Limitless and Kalshi use fair-market-price handling for non-play/certain postponement or forfeit scenarios. These are fine-print settlement differences and do not change the question asked.
  • 9z vs Aurora Gaming: Map 2 Winner

    This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against 9z. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

    2 holders · read Oct 14, 10:26 AM UTC

  • Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

    This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against 9z. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

  • Kalshithis market

    Aurora Gaming wins map 2

    If Aurora Gaming wins map 2 in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to map 2 in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT If the relevant match or map is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant map is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in the map, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 14, 11:02 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
9z wins map 2Kalshi99% 9zOpen

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As of Oct 24, 03:35 PM UTC