Katlyn Cerminara wins

Katlyn Cerminara99%
No1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$535.7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Katlyn Cerminara wins the Katlyn Cerminara vs Mackenzie Stiller professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement mechanics only: Kalshi pays 0.50 for tie/no contest and uses a fair-price fallback if cancelled, Gemin i settles draw/no contest as No and may fair-price after longer postponement, and SxBet cites a no-contest void rule under its sportsbook rules. These are material only to resolution, not to what outcome is being priced.
  • Katlyn Cerminara vs Mackenzie Stiller: Katlyn Cerminara wins

    12. Katlyn Cerminara / Mackenzie Stiller. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

    read Oct 17, 11:04 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Katlyn Cerminara wins

    If Katlyn Cerminara wins the Katlyn Cerminara vs Mackenzie Stiller professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 16, 01:04 PM UTC

  • Katlyn Cerminara vs Mackenzie Stiller: Katlyn Cerminara wins

    Novig UFC money market on Katlyn Cerminara vs Mackenzie Stiller, scheduled 2026-10-17 22:00 UTC. Sides: Katlyn Cerminara / Mackenzie Stiller. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 17, 09:58 PM UTC

  • Cerminara vs Stiller: Katlyn Cerminara

    This market resolves to Yes if Katlyn Cerminara wins the Cerminara vs Stiller professional MMA fight scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Mackenzie Stiller winsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 07:51 PM UTC