Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points?

No99%
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points1%

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24h volume$838.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Baltimore wins by more than 3.5 points in the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on settlement mechanics: Kalshi specifies the game result in the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game, while Gemini defines the score differential using league/ESPN/Fox/official broadcast sources and includes fallback rules for cancellation or disqualification. These are not material differences in the question asked.
  • Kalshithis market

    Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points?

    If Baltimore wins by more than 3.5 points in the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 18, 08:27 AM UTC

  • Baltimore vs Cleveland: spread: Baltimore (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Baltimore in the entire NFL game between Baltimore and Cleveland scheduled for 2026-10-18 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Baltimore's score minus Cleveland's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 03:04 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi99% Cleveland wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi99% Cleveland wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Baltimore wins by over 20.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Baltimore wins by over 17.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi96% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 01:49 PM UTC