Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)

Crystal Palace FC92%
Newcastle United FC9%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$14.8K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for October 25 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Sourcehttps://www.premierleague.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Both resolve on the Newcastle -2.5 line for the same Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Premier League game, using regulation time / first 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. They differ in settlement details: Gemini lists a source hierarchy and later expiration handling, while Polymarket uses the official Premier League result and has explicit postpone/cancel fallback rules.
  • Newcastle vs Crystal Palace: regulation time spread: Newcastle (-2.5)

    If Newcastle United beats Crystal Palace by more than 2.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Newcastle United's goals minus Crystal Palace's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 23, 05:43 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)

    In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for October 25 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: total O/U 2.5Polymarket62% OverOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: total O/U 4.5Polymarket79% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScorePolymarket66% YesOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: 1st half total O/U 0.5Polymarket76% OverOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: total O/U 3.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 1.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: total O/U 0.5Polymarket96% OverOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: total O/U 1.5Polymarket84% OverOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: total O/U 5.5Polymarket90% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Crystal Palace FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5Polymarket79% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Crystal Palace FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 4.5Polymarket98% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: 2nd half total O/U 4.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 2.5Polymarket81% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfPolymarket75% NoOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: 2nd half total O/U 2.5Polymarket74% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 3.5Polymarket94% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Newcastle United FC 1st Half O/U 2.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Newcastle United FC 2nd Half O/U 2.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 0.5Polymarket82% OverOpen
Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC: 1st half total O/U 2.5Polymarket84% UnderOpen
1st Half Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Polymarket51% Newcastle United FCOpen
1st Half Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Polymarket93% Newcastle United FCOpen
2nd Half Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Polymarket50% Newcastle United FCOpen
1st Half Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Polymarket51% Crystal Palace FCOpen

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As of Oct 25, 08:53 AM UTC